Day 2 - Tuesday, 5 December 2017

Tuesday, 5 December 2017

9:00 – 10:30 Plenary session 4: Role of institutions in transformative governance (ECA and AfDB)

Transformative institutions are an essential ingredient in developmental States. Such institutions will be capable of responding to the changing global economic landscape and of creating policies that are appropriate to it at the national, subnational and regional levels. Coordinated development plans and associated policy frameworks for sustainable development will be required. Developmental States emerge in different political contexts; however, in order to be sustainable, they must be both inclusive and democratic. This session will provide an opportunity for participants to look at issues in institutional structures, design and implementation for inclusive and sustainable economic transformation. In addition, participants will be encouraged to recommend measures for enhancing national, regional and subnational government policy and administration, and regulatory and resource mobilization capabilities.

Room: Conference room 2 
Keynote address 
• Prof. Mushtaq Khan, Department of Economics, University of London Moderator: Gabriel Negatu, Director General, East Africa Regional Development and Business Delivery Office Panellists:

• Dr. Neway Gebreab, Former Advisor to the Prime Minister of Ethiopia

• Prof. Malcolm Sawyer, University of Leeds, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

• Dr. Adam Elhiraika, Director, Macroeconomic Policy Division, ECA

• Prof. Augustin Fosu, Institute of Statistical, Social and Economic Research, University of Ghana

10:30 – 11:00 Tea and coffee break

11:00 – 13:00 Concurrent session 1 (Research paper presentations)
Session 1.1: Governance, institutions and economic development

Room: Caucus room 11 Chair: Dr. Said Adejumobi, Director, Sub-Regional Office for Southern Africa, ECA

Paper presenters:

 Can Decentralization Foster Structural Transformation? Theory and Evidence. Michael Mbate, London School of Economics and Political Science, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
Discussant: Ms. Ito M Mannathoko, Formerly Senior Economist, Adviser to the Executive Director, IMF, Botswana

• Structural Change: Pace, Patterns and Determinants. Pedro Martins, Economic Affairs Officer, ECA. 
Discussant: Michael Mbate, London School of Economics and Political Science, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

• Intervention de l’Etat et transformation structurelle de l’économie : cas de la campagne agricole en Guinée. [ PPT PPT ] Mr. Ibrahima Camara, Banque Centrale de la République de Guinée
Discussant: Dr. Sandrine Dahouet-Boigny, Economic Affairs Officer, ECA

Session 1.2: The role of the State and leadership in overcoming barriers to effective structural transformation

Room: Conference Room 3
Chair: Dr. Gamal Ibrahim, Chief, Finance and Private Sector Section, ECA

Paper Presenters:

• Growth, Sectoral aid and Institutional Quality: Evidence from Developing Countries. Adamasu Maruta, University of South Australia 
Discussant: Charles Abugre, Savannah Accelerated Development Authority, Ghana

• The economics and politics of foreign aid and domestic revenue mobilization. [ PPT PPT ] Abrams Mbu Enow Tagem, University of Nottingham, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland 
Discussant: Dr. Dereje Alemaehu, Tax Justice Network – Africa

 From Consumer to Citizen Building a social contract for transformation through direct taxation. Adrian Gauci and John Sloan, ECA 
Discussant: Carina Sugden, AfDB

Session 1.4: Deepening regional integration towards effective governance and structural transformation

Room: Conference Room 5 
Chair: James Wakiaga, UNDP Paper

Presenters:

• Institutional Quality and Trade: The case for COMESA region. [ PDF PDF ] Shingirirai Mashura, and Makochekanwa Albert, University of Zimbabwe, Zimbabwe 
Discussant: Adeleke Salami, AfDB

• Productivité Globale des Facteurs et transformation structurelle dans l’espace CEDEAO : une analyse du rôle des externalités technologiques. [ PDF PDF ]Inoussa Traoré, University of Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso Discussant: Wafa Aidi, ECA

• The Role of Regional Trade Integration and Governance in Structural Transformation: Empirical Evidence from ECOWAS Trade Bloc. [ PPT PPT ] Musibau Adekunle Oladapo and Abiodun Surajdeen Bankole, University of Ibadan, Nigeria 
Discussant: William Davis, ECA

13:00 – 14:30 Lunch break

13:00 – 14:30 Special event B: UN-Women – discussion on the policy recommendations from the report entitled, “The Cost of the Gender Gap in Agricultural Productivity”

Room: Delegates’ lounge, top floor Lunch offered

14:30-15:30 Special Event C: Governance for Africa’s Industrialization (AfDB)

Many African countries have realized that industrialization is crucial to attain economic transformation, and have taken steps to improve the enabling environment through adoption of industrial policies, infrastructure improvements, and development of human capital. However, the governance deficit must be addressed for industrialization to be achieved. The session, Governance for Africa’s Industrialization, will examine more closely the importance of governance for industrialization- examining more closely the governance factors that contribute towards more successful design and implementation of industrial policies. The session will examine modern notions of industrial policy and the evolving role of the State, as well as the importance of ensuring private sector participation. It will also examine the contribution of development and finance institutions to this agenda. The panel discussion aims to come up with policy options on possible modalities for upscaling governance for industrial development and structural transformation of African economies.

Room: Conference Room 2

 • Keynote Address: Prof. Keun Lee, Department of Economics, Seoul National University, Korea and Director, Center for Economic Catch-up 
Moderator: Dr. Abebe Shimeles, Director of Macroeconomics Policy, Forecasting And Research, AfDB

Panelists:

• Dr. Tilman Altenburg, Head of Department, German Development Institute

 • Dr. Miriam Altman, Commissioner National Planning Commission, South Africa

• Prof. Adebayo Olukoshi, Director Africa and West Asia Region, International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance

15:30-16:00 Tea / Coffee break

16:00 Concurrent Session 2 (Research Paper Presentations)

Session 2.1: Enhancing agricultural policies for structural transformation

Room: Caucus Room 1 
Chair: Dr. Abdul Kamara, AfDB

Paper Presenters:

 Targeting of Malawi’s Farm Input Subsidy Programme based on Efficiency: Big Pain, Small Gain? Solomon Asfaw and Andrea Cattaneo, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Giacomo Pallante, Ministry of Envrionment, Alessandro Palma, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Italy 
Discussant: Obindah Gershon, Covenant University, Nigeria

• Transaction Arrangement Choices of Smallholder Coffee Growers along Coffee Supply Chains. The Case of South-Western Coffee Growing Areas of Ethiopia. Mebratu Alemu, Belaineh Legesse and Jema Haji, Haramaya University and Moti Jaleta, International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center, Ethiopia 
Discussant: Mark Eghan, AfDB

• Assessing Government Policy for Targeted Reforms: The Case Of African Agriculture. Manitra A. Rakotoarisoa, Infinite-Sum Modeling Inc. USA and FOFIFA Madagascar, Madagascar. 
Discussant: Mebratu Senbeta, Arba Minch University, Ethiopia

Session 2.2: The role of the Government in supporting private sector development for structural transformation

Room: Conference Room 3 
Chair: Abdoulaye Coulibaly, AfDB

Paper Presenters:

• Economic regulation and employment elasticities of growth in Sub-Saharan Africa. [ PPT PPT ] Abidemi C. Adegoye, University of Benin, Nigeria and Monday I. Egharevba and Joel Edafe, Benson Idahosa University, Nigeria 
Discussant: Edward Sennoga, AfDB

 • Incentives and Firms’ Productivity: Exploring Multidimensional Fiscal Incentives in a Developing Country. [ PPT PPT ] Rapuluchukwu Efobi Uchenna, Belmondo Tanankem Voufo, Cameroon 
Discussant: Kevin Lumbila, AfDB

• Climat des Affaires, Création d’emplois et Productivité du Travail des Entreprises Béninoises 
Discussant: Mr. Inoussa Traoré, University of Ouagadougou

Session 2.3: Trade and industrial policies for structural transformation

Room: Conference Room 5 
Chair: John Anwanyu, AfDB

Paper Presenters:

• Exporting, importing and wages in Africa: Evidence from matched employeremployee data. Marta Duda-Nyczak, ECA, Zambia and Christian Viegelahn, International Labour Organization, Switzerland 
Discussant: Linguere Mbaye, AfDB

• Economic Interactions based on Free Trade Agreements between European Union and African Countries: a panel VAR approach. Léléng Kebalo, University of Lomé, Togo 
Discussant: Ojijo Odhiambo, UNDP

Session 2.4: Macroeconomic policies for inclusive development

Room: Conference Room 6

Chair: Angela, Lusigi, Strategic Advisor, UNDP Paper Presenters:

• Optimal monetary policy with output and asset price volatility in an open economy: Evidence from Kenya. [ PDF PDF ] Peter Wamalwa, Central Bank of Kenya, Kenya 
Discussant: Taiwo Ojapinwa, University of Lagos, Nigeria

• Is there Causal Association between Exchange Rate and Inflation in Africa? A Panel Granger Causality Analysis. Mamo Girma, Addis Ababa Science & Technology University, Ethiopia 
Discussant: Admit Wondifraw Zerihun, AfDB

• Financial repression in Sudan [PPT PPT ] Sawsan Abdul-Jalil, University of Khartoum, Sudan 
Discussant: Fatou Leigh, UNDP

18:00-19:00 Special event D: Governing Development through integrated development plans and processes: Launch of the 2017 Sustainable Development Goals (the 2030 Agenda) and Agenda 2063 Report and the 2017 Economic Report on Africa

Room: Conference Room 2

Keynote Address:

• Dr. Adeyemi Dipeolu, Economic Adviser to the President of Nigeria (confirmed) Presenters: 
• Bartholomew Armah, Chief, Renewal of Planning Section, ECA 
• Allan Mukungu, ECA 
• Semia Guermas de Tapia, ECA