Programme

African Economic Conference 2013

Regional Integration in Africa

Montecasino Entertainment Complex, Johannesburg, South Africa
28 – 30 October 2013

Sunday, 27th October 2013

14:00 – 18:00

Registration of Participants

 

14:00 – 18:00

 

 

19:00

Room:  Montecasino Ballroom entrance

Room:  Verona 2 & 3

THINK TANKS NETWORKING SESSION – Africa’s Industrialization Path into its Structural Transformation: What are the Policy Options?

Cocktail Function – Deck of Southern Sun Montecasino

DAY ONE:  Monday, 28 October 2013

07:30 – 08:30

 

 

09:00 – 9:30

 

 

 

09:30 – 10:00

10:00 – 11:00

Registration of Media and Participants (continued)

Coffee

OPENING CEREMONY

Room: Montecasino Ballroom

Welcome Statements

Master of Ceremony:Mthuli Ncube, Vice-President and Chief Economist, African Development Bank

°         Donald Kaberuka, President, African Development Bank (AfDB)

°         Abdalla Hamdok, Deputy Executive Secretary, United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA)

 

Official Opening:  H.E. Jacob Zuma, President of South Africa

Opening Plenary - Leadership of Regional Integration

Moderator:Daniel Makokera, Pamuzinda Productions, South Africa

Panelists:

°         Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma, Chairperson, African Union Commission

°         Pravin Gordhan, Minister of Finance, South Africa

°         Donald Kaberuka, President, African Development Bank

°         Abdalla Hamdok, Deputy Executive Secretary, UNECA

11:00 – 11:15

11:15 – 11:45

Break

Press Conference

Room:  La Toscana

 

11:15 – 13:15

FIRST PLENARY SESSION – Leveraging Regional Integration for Inclusive and Sustainable Growth in Africa

Room:  Montecasino Ballroom

Moderator: Mthuli Ncube, Vice-President and Chief Economist, AfDB

Panelists:

°         Delphin Rwegasira, Professor, University of Dar Es-Salaam

°         Lemma W. Senbet, Executive Director, African Economic Research Consortium (AERC)

°         Abebe Shimeles, Division Manager, AfDB

°         Paulina Elago,Country Director, Trade Mark East Africa, Tanzania

°         Jean-Gustave Sanon,Technical Adviser, UEMOA

°         Fatiha Talahite, Professor, Université Paris XIII, France

 

13:15 – 14:30

Lunch

Room: Billy G’s Restaurant

 

14:30 – 16:30

SECOND PLENARY SESSION – Regional Integration for Africa’s Transformation: Trans-Boundary Value Chains, Shared Infrastructure and Transformative Development Corridors

Room:  Montecasino Ballroom

Moderator: Emmanuel Nnadozie, Director, Macro-Economic Policy Division, UNECA

Panelists:

°         David Kimoimo, Managing Director at Business Synergies, Uganda

°         Slim Othmani, Chief Executive Officer and Regional Investor, NCA Rouiba, Algeria

°         Mwangi Kimenyi, Director, Africa Growth Initiative, Brookings Institute, USA

°         Fantu Cheru, Professor, American University, USA

°         Imed Drine, Senior Economist, Islamic Development Bank

 

 

16:30 – 16:45

Break

 

16:45 – 18:45

CONCURRENT SEMINARS

Session 1.1 Convergence and Monetary Unions

Room: La Toscana

Chair:Victor Murinde, Director, African Development Institute, AfDB

 

1.Regional Integration and Convergence: Is African Regional Economic Community Converging Faster?

Gaston Gohou, President, CESS Institute, Canada

Discussant:Witness Simbanegavi, Director of Research, AERC

2.Degré de convergence des chocs macroéconomiques, choix de régime de change et dynamique d'intégration dans la CEDEAO

Bamba Ka, Economist & PhD Student, BCEAO & Université Cheikh Anta Diop, Senegal

Discussant:Aissatou Gueye, Economic Affairs Officer, Renewal of Planning, UNECA

3.Can WAMZ Area Inflation Converge without Ex-Ante Monetary Policy Coordination?

Emmanuel DeleBalogun, University Lecturer, University of Lagos, Nigeria

Discussant:Babatunde Omilola, Economic Advisor, UNDP

4.Economic Integration in WAEMU: Will the Multilateral Monitoring Mechanism Lead to Growth and Welfare Convergence?

WilliamGbohoui, PhD Candidate, University of Montreal, Canada

Discussant: Basil Jones, Assistant to the Chief Economist, AfDB

 

 

Session 1.2 The Political Economy of Regional Integration

Room: MontecasinoConference Room

Chair:Said Adejumobi, Director, Sub-regional Office for Southern Africa,UNECA

 

5.Contemporary Discourses and Contestations around Sovereignty, Supra-Nationalism and the Future of African Regional Integration

Mofe Oluwashola Jeje, Research & Data Analysis, Market Edge Communication Ltd

Discussant:Moono Mupotola, Division Manager, AfDB

6.The 10 Commandments of Regional Integration Analysis for Africa: or why Africa is not a country

Ilan Strauss, Consultant, African Development Bank& Naym Charaf-Eddine, Comoros

Discussant:Mzwanele Mfunwa, Economic Affairs Officer, SRO-SA, UNECA

7.The Political Economy of Regional Integration and Development in Africa: Rethinking the theoretical models

SamuelOloruntoba, Post-Doctoral Fellow-Lecturer, University of South Africa

Discussant:Emelly Mutambatsere, Principal Regional Economist, AfDB

8.L’informalité : Un nouveau paradigme de développement et d'intégration "par le bas" en Afrique

Issofou Mountapmbeme Njifen, Enseignant-chercheur, CEREG-Université de Yaoundé II

Discussant:Isiyaka Sabo, Economic Advisor, UNDPBurkina Faso

 

 

Session 1.3Regional Integration and Economic Growth

Room: Verona (Pivot Center)

Chair:Pedro Conceicao, Chief Economist, Regional Bureau for Africa, UNDP

9. Regional Integration Models and Africa’s Growth in the 21st Century: A Fitness Evaluation

Peter Golit&Yusuf Adamu, Public Servants, Research Department, Central Bank of Nigeria

Discussant:Samuel Mwakubo, Manager of Research, AERC

10. Revisiting the Effectiveness of African Economic Integration. A Meta-Analytic Review and Comparative Estimation Methods

Sylvanus Kwaku Afesorgbor, Researcher Fellow / PhD Student, UPSA, Ghana / Aarhus University, Denmark

Discussant:Adam Elhiraika, Chief, Forecasting, UNECA

11. Intégration régionale et croissance : Le cas de l'Afrique centrale

Gaston Xavier Dagba Ndongo, PhD Student, Montreal University, Canada &JosephBaricako, UNECA

Discussant:Joseph Mouanda, Senior Evaluation Officer, AfDB

12. Monetary Policy and Economic Growth in CEMAC Zone: A Panel Data Approach

Fouda Ekobena Simon Yannick, PhD Student, University of Yaoundé II, Cameroon

Discussant:Angela Lusigi, Policy Advisor, Strategy and Advisory Unit, UNDP

 

 

19:00

 

Cocktail Function:Foyer Teatro Theatre (access Montecasino Square)

 

Facilitators: Ebrima Faal, Regional Director, South Africa Regional Resource Centre and Steve Kayizzi-Mugerwa, Director of Development Research Department, AfDB

 

 

 

08:30 – 10:30

DAY TWO:  Tuesday, 29 October 2013

THIRD PLENARY SESSION – Towards Implementation:  The Political Economy of Regional Integration

Room:  Montecasino Ballroom

Moderator: Pedro Conceicao, Chief Economist, Regional Bureau for Africa, UNDP

Panelists:

°         Babatunde Omilola, Economic Advisor, UNDP(TBC)

°         Thandika Mkandawire, Professor, London School of Economics and Political Science

°         Ibbo Day Mandaza, Executive Director, SAPES Trust, Zimbabwe

°         Tetteh Hormeku, Head of Programmes, Third World Network Africa

 

10:30 – 10:45

10:45 – 12:45

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12:45 – 14:00

 

 

 

14:30 – 15:30

 

 

 

 

14:00 – 16:00

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

16:00 – 16:15

 

 

 

16:15 – 18:15

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

08:30 – 10:30

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10:30 – 10:45

10:45 – 12:45

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12:45 – 14:00

 

 

14:00 – 16:00

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

16:00 – 16:15

 

16:15 – 16:45

 

 

 

 

 

17:00 – 17:30

 

18:15 – 19:00

 

19:00

Break

CONCURRENT SEMINARS

Session 2.1 Institutional Integration and Policy Coordination

Room: La Toscana

 

Chair:Sam Cho, Chief, Finance and Private Sector, UNECA

 

13. The will to integrate: South Africa’s responses to regional migration

Christopher Changwe Nshimbi, Researcher & Lorenzo Fioramonti, Professor, Center for the Study of Governance Innovation, University of Pretoria, South Africa

Discussant:Kumo Wolassa Lawisso, Senior Country Economist,AfDB

14. The Challenges of regional integration: A case study of the East Africa Community (2002-2011)

PatriciaMwithiga, Kenya Red Cross Society

Discussant:Allan Mukungu, Economic Affairs Officer,  Finance and Private Sector, UNECA

15. Law and Development in Africa: Paving the Way for Regional Integration through Harmonisation of Laws

Regis Y. Simo, Doctoral Candidate, Università Commerciale L. Bocconi, Italy

Discussant:George Lwanda, Economic Advisor, UNDP Zambia

16. Dette extérieure et qualité des institutions, impact sur la croissance économique: cas de l’UEMOA

JérômeOuedraogo, Élève Ingénieur Statisticien Économiste, ENSEA

Discussant:Liliane Alapini, Conseillère technique à l’économie, Ministère du Développement, Bénin

 

Session 2.2 Competitiveness and Trade Integration

Room: Montecasino Conference Room

Chair:Witness Simbanegavi, Director of Research, African Economic Research Consortium (AERC)

 

17. L’incidence du commerce Nord-Sud et du commerce Sud-Sud sur l’industrialisation en Afrique

Henri Atangana Onda, Lecturer&Henri Ngoa Tabi, University of Yaoundé II, Cameroon

Discussant:Ralf Kruger, Chief research Economist, AfDB

18. Trade Policies, Market Structure, and Manufacturing Sector Performance in Malawi over the period 1967-2002

HopestoneChavula, Economist, UNECA

Discussant:Alka Bhatia, Economic Advisor, UNDP Lesotho

19.Primary Agricultural Commodity Exports and Unemployment

AlassaDrabo, Researcher, CERDI, France& University of Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso

Discussant:Robert Lisinge, Economic Affairs Officer, Industrialization & Infrastructure, UNECA

Session 2.3 Gravity Model Approach and Trade Potential

Room: Verona (Pivot Center)

Chair:Adam Elhiraika, Chief, Forecasting, UNECA

20. Intégration par le marché cas des pays de la CEEAC

Désiré Avom, Professeur& Mouhamed Mbouandi Njikam, Doctorant-Chercheur, Université de Yaoundé II, Cameroon

Discussant:Daouda Sinwinde, Conseiller des affaires économiques, Ministère de l’Economie et des Finances, Burkina Faso

 

21. Regional Integration and Trade in Africa: Augmented Gravity Model Approach

EdrisSeid, Junior Research Fellow, the Horn Economic and Social Policy Institute, Ethiopia

Discussant: Elvis Mtonga, Economics Advisor, Office of the CEO, NEPAD

22. Africa's Economic Regionalism: Is There Any Other Obstacle?

Atif Moheeldeein, Assistant Professor of Economics, Kassala University, Sudan &IshakYussof, Professor, School of Economics, National University of Malaysia

Discussant:Isiyaka Sabo, Economic Advisor, UNDP Burkina Faso

23. Assessing the Impact of Trade Facilitation on SADC’s Intra-Trade Potential

AlbertMakochekanwa, University Lecturer, Department of Economics, University of Zimbabwe

Discussant:Simon Mevel, Economic Affairs Officer, African Trade Policy Centre (ATPC), UNECA

Lunch

Room:  Billy G’s Restaurant

BOOK LAUNCH - Monetary Policy and Economy in South Africa, by Prof. Mthuli Ncube, AfDB Vice President & Chief Economist

Room:  Verona (Pivot Center)

FOURTH PLENARY SESSION – The Role of the Private Sector in Enhancing Regional Integration

Room:  Montecasino Ballroom

Moderator: Alex Rugamba, Director, Energy, Environment and Climate Change, AfDB (tbc)

Panelists:

°         H.E. Trevor Manuel, Minister in The Presidency, South Africa

°         Elias Masilela, CEO, Pension Investment Corporate, South Africa

°         Vivienne Apopo, Director General, East African Development Bank,

°          

°         Admassu Yilma Tadesse, President and Chief Executive Officer of the PTA Bank

Break

CONCURRENT SEMINARS

Session 2.4 Financial Integration

Room: La Toscana

Chair:Pedro Conceicao, Chief Economist, Regional Bureau for Africa, UNDP

24. Financial Integration in African Emerging Markets

Sally Farid, Economic Lecturer, Institute of African Researches and Studies, Cairo University

Discussant:Eline Okudzeto, Principal Macroeconomist, AfDB

25. Financial integration and Economic Growth: A Case of Portfolio Equity Flows to Sub-Saharan Africa

EricOsei-Assibey, Lecturer&SethObeng Adu, Research Assistant, University of Ghana

Discussant:Barfour Osei, Chief Research Economist, AfDB

26. Financial Frictions and Exchange Rate Regimes in the Prospective Monetary Union of the ECOWAS Countries

Lacina Balma, PhD Candidate, Université Montesquieu Bordeaux 4, France

Discussant:Joseph Baricako, Economic Affairs Officer, SRO-CA, UNECA

27.TBC

Roy Havemann, National Treasury of South Africa Discussant:Angela Lusigi, Policy Advisor, Strategy and Advisory Unit, UNDP

Session 2.5 Impact of Currency Union on Trade

Room: Montecasino Conference Room

Chair:Issa Faye, Manager of Research Division,AfDB

 

28. Impact des Unions Monétaires sur les échanges commerciaux : Le cas de l’UEMOA

Ibrahima Camara,Statisticien, Direction des Etudes et de la Recherche, Banque Centrale de la République de Guinée

Discussant:Isiyaka Sabo, Economic Advisor, UNDP Burkina Faso

29. Accords Commerciaux et Flux de Commerce dans la CEDEAO: le Partage d'une Monnaie Unique est-il Déterminant?

BenjaminNdong, Enseignant-chercheur, &Sokhana DiarraMboup, Etudiante-Doctorante, Laboratoire de Recherche en Economie de Saint Louis (LARES), Université Gaston Berger de Saint Louis, Senegal

Discussant:Bernadette Kia Kamgnia, Division Manager, AfDB

30. Trade and Currency Unions issues for Regional Integration in Africa: Evidence with a DSGE model in CFA Zone

Kame Babilla Thierry Urgue, Researcher, University of Yaounde II, Cameroon

Discussant:Joseph Atta-Mensah, Senior Advisor, African Union/NEPAD Team, UNECA

31. Compétitivité et Intégration Commerciale des pays de la CEMAC : Avantages comparatifs et contribution au solde commercial

Joseph Parfait Owoundi, Economist, Ministry of Economy, Planning and Regional Development, Cameroon

Discussant:André Loua, Conseiller du Ministre, Ministère de l’Economie et des Finances, Guinée

Session 2.6 Regional Integration in ECOWAS

Room: Verona (Pivot Center)

Chair:Janvier Litse, Director, NEPAD, Regional Integration and Trade, AfDB

 

32. Impact of Regional Road Infrastructure Improvement on Intra-Regional Trade in ECOWAS

UduakAkpan, Researcher, Infrastructure Consortium for Africa, Tunisia

Discussant:Fatou Leigh, Economic Advisor, UNDP Swaziland

33. Infrastructures de télécommunication, intégration régionale et convergence des revenus dans la CEDEAO : une approche par les panels dynamiques

Idrissa Yaya Diandy, Enseignant-Chercheur, Université Cheikh Anta Diop&DembaSy, Statisticien Économiste – Chercheur, Agence Nationale de la Statistique et de la Démographie, Sénégal

Discussant:Mina Baliamoune, Director of Research, African Centre for Economic Transformation (ACET), Ghana

34. Economic Integration, Trade Facilitation and Agricultural Exports Performance in ECOWAS Member States

Oluyomi Ola-David, Teaching and Research, Covenant University, Nigeria&WumiOlayiwola, Principal Programme Officer, ECOWAS Commission

Discussant:Said Adejumobi, Director, Sub-regional Office for Southern Africa, UNECA

35. Regional Economic Integration, Growth and Income Distribution: a GTAP/CGE Impact Analysis of ECOWAS

Eric Osei-Assibey, Lecturer, University of Ghana & Joseph Kwadwo Asenso, Economist, Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning, Ghana

Discussant:Albert Mafusire, Senior Country Economist, AfDB

 

DAY THREE:  Wednesday, 30 October 2013

FIFTH PLENARY SESSION – Making Industrialisation and Trade Transform Africa

Room:  Montecasino Ballroom

Moderator: Stephen Karingi, Director of Regional Integration and Trade Division, UNECA

Panelists:

°         Patrick Osakwe, Chief, Africa Section, UNCTAD

°         Asma Bouraoui Khouja, Executive Director, Maghreb Economic Forum

°         Olatunji Olaniyi, Senior Trade Advisor African Business Round-table, Nigeria

°         Jane Nalunga, Country Director, Southern and Eastern African Trade Information and Negotiations Institutes (SEATINI), Uganda

°         Oliver Saasa, Managing Consultant/CEO, Premier Consult Limited, Zambia

°         Mina Baliamoune, Director of Research, African Centre for Economic Transformation (ACET), Ghana

Break

CONCURRENT SEMINARS

Session 3.1 Impact of Trade Liberalization

Room: La Toscana

Chair:Joseph Atta-Mensah, Senior Advisor, African Union/NEPAD Team, UNECA

 

36. A Partial Equilibrium Analysis of the Proposed Tripartite Free Trade Area: A Ugandan Perspective

Malcolm Spence, Trade and Finance Economist, Ministry of East African Community Affairs, Uganda

Discussant:Babatunde Omilola, Economic Advisor, UNDP South Africa

37. Performance of Intra-COMESA Trade Integration: A comparative Study with ASEAN’s Trade Integration

Ebaidalla MahjoubEbaidalla, Assistant Professor&AbdelrahimYahia, Lecturer, University of Kassala, Sudan

Discussant: Andrea Molinari, Senior Adviser, AfDB

38. The Impact of Trade Liberalisation on Export Growth and Import Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

LanreKassim, Research Student, University of Kent

Discussant: Wilberforce Mariki, Principal Country Economist, AfDB

39.Trade in Intermediate Inputs and Trade Facilitation in Africa's Regional Integration

Siope Vakataki Ofa&StephenKaringi, International Civil Servants, UNECA

Discussant:Tonia Kandiero, Resident Representative for Tanzania, AfDB

Session 3.2 Financial Regulation / Transport Liberalization

Room: Montecasino Conference Room

Chair:Agostinho Zacarias, UN Resident Coordinator / UNDP Resident Representative, UNDP

 

40. Financial Deepening Dynamics and Implication for Financial Policy Coordination in a Monetary Union: the case of WAEMU

ChristianNguena, Consultant&Temilade Abimbola, Division Manager, AfDB

Discussant:Allan Mukungu, Economic Affairs Officer, Finance and Private Sector, UNECA

41. The Interbank Market in Kenya and Implications for Bank Regulation

Ye Bai, Lecturer, University of Nottingham, UK, VictorMurinde, Director, African Development Institute, AfDB &Isaya Maana, Central Bank of Kenya

Discussant:John Moturi Omiti, Executive Director, Kenya Institute for Public Policy Resarch and Analysis (KIPPRA) - TBC

42. Quantifying Illicit Financial Flows from Africa through Trade Mis-Pricing and Assessing their Incidence on African Economies

SimonMevel, Economic Affairs Officer&SiopeOfa, Assistant Economic Affairs Officer, UNECA

Discussant:Athanasius Coker, Chief Programme Coordinator, AfDB

43. Economic Effects of Air Transport Liberalization in Africa

MegersaAbate, Researcher &Ph.D Student, VTI, Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Sweden& Tewodros and Associates, Ethiopia

Discussant:George Lwanda, Economic Advisor, UNDP Zambia

Session 3.3Fiscal Policy and Regional Integration

Room: Verona (Pivot Center)

Chair:Tonia Kandiero, Resident Representative, Tanzania, AfDB

 

44. Bilan et défis des reformes harmonisées de programmation budgétaire en Afrique : cas du CDMT, Quid de l’expérience du Sénégal ?

Ligane MassambaSene, Ingénieur Statisticien Économiste, IFPRI, Afrique de l'Ouest et du Centre, Senegal

Discussant:Mama Keita, Economic Affairs Officer, Renewal of Planning, UNECA

45. Monitoring Fiscal Sustainability in Africa: Symptoms and Sources

Moses Obinyeluaku, Chief Economist, International Trade Administration Commission (ITAC) of South Africa

Discussant:Idrissa Diagne, Economic Advisor, UNDP Guinea

46. Règles de politiques budgétaires dans l’UEMOA : une évaluation empirique du critère limitant les déficits publics

MohamedCoulibaly, Macroéconomiste Consultant, Université de Ouagadougou II, Burkina Faso

Discussant:Ridha Chkoundali, Conseiller auprès du Ministre, Ministère du Développement et de la Coopération Internationale, Tunisia

Lunch

Room:  Billy G’s Restaurant

SIXTH PLENARY SESSION – Trans-boundary Management of Regional Public Goods and Natural Resources

Room:  Montecasino Ballroom

Moderator: Pedro Conceicao, Chief Economist, Regional Bureau for Africa, UNDP

Panelists:

°         Francis Mangeni, Director of Trade and Industry, COMESA

°         Mwangi Kimenyi, Director, Africa Growth Initiative, Brookings Institute

°         Canisius Kanangire, Executive Secretary, EAC / Lake Victoria Basin Commission

°         Sanusi Imran Abdullahi, Executive Secretary, Lake Chad Basin Commission

°         Lynette Chen, CEO, NEPAD Business Foundation, South Africa

 

Break

 

CLOSING CEREMONY

Room:  Montecasino Ballroom

 

Moderator: Steve Kayizzi-Mugerwa, Director of Development Research Department, AfDB

 

Speaker: Emmanuel Nnadozie, Director, Macro-Economic Policy Division, UNECA

Speaker: Pedro Conceicao, Chief Economist, Regional Bureau for Africa, UNDP

Speaker: Mthuli Ncube, Chief Economist and Vice President, AfDB

 

 

Press Conference

 

Room:  Montecasino Ballroom

United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA) Launch – Assessing Regional Integration in Africa Report

Refreshments served in Montecasino Ballroom Foyer